Single poll

Civey poll of 28 February 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
DER SPIEGEL
Fieldwork period
26 to 27 Feb 2017
Respondents
5,012
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU34.3%+0.2
  • SPD31.4%+2.7
  • AfD8.4%-1.6
  • Linke8.1%-0.3
  • Grüne7.1%-0.8
  • FDP6.4%-0.1
  • Others4.3%-0.1

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 21 Feb 2017.

In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.3%, followed by SPD on 31.4%. 5,012 people were surveyed from 26 to 27 Feb 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 21 Feb 2017, SPD gains 2.7 points, AfD loses 1.6 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU/CSU 2.1 points higher and AfD 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Feb 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +2.1average 32.2
  • AfD -2.0average 10.4
  • SPD +0.7average 30.7
  • Grüne -0.5average 7.6
  • FDP +0.2average 6.2
  • Linke ±0average 8.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 226 seatsSPD: 207 seatsAfD: 55 seatsLinke: 53 seatsGrüne: 47 seatsFDP: 42 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU226
  • SPD207
  • AfD55
  • Linke53
  • Grüne47
  • FDP42
  • CDU/CSU + SPD433 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke334 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne328 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne326 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP323 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP321 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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