Single poll

Civey poll of 7 March 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
DER SPIEGEL
Fieldwork period
2 to 6 Mar 2017
Respondents
5,006
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU33.6%-0.7
  • SPD31.2%-0.2
  • AfD9.4%+1.0
  • Linke7.6%-0.5
  • FDP7.0%+0.6
  • Grüne6.7%-0.4
  • Others4.5%+0.2

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 28 Feb 2017.

In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.6%, followed by SPD on 31.2%. 5,006 people were surveyed from 2 to 6 Mar 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 28 Feb 2017, AfD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Mar 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +1.4average 32.2
  • AfD -1.2average 10.6
  • Grüne -1.0average 7.7
  • FDP +0.7average 6.3
  • SPD +0.5average 30.7
  • Linke -0.5average 8.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 222 seatsSPD: 206 seatsAfD: 62 seatsLinke: 50 seatsFDP: 46 seatsGrüne: 44 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU222
  • SPD206
  • AfD62
  • Linke50
  • FDP46
  • Grüne44
  • CDU/CSU + SPD428 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke334 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP330 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne328 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP318 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Linke318 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne316 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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