Single poll

Civey poll of 14 March 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
DER SPIEGEL
Fieldwork period
8 to 13 Mar 2017
Respondents
5,017
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU33.5%-0.1
  • SPD31.4%+0.2
  • AfD10.3%+0.9
  • Linke7.1%-0.5
  • Grüne6.8%+0.1
  • FDP6.7%-0.3
  • Others4.2%-0.3

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 7 Mar 2017.

In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.5%, followed by SPD on 31.4%. 5,017 people were surveyed from 8 to 13 Mar 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 7 Mar 2017, no party moves by more than one point.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Mar 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +1.1average 32.4
  • Linke -1.1average 8.2
  • Grüne -0.8average 7.6
  • SPD +0.6average 30.8
  • FDP +0.6average 6.1
  • AfD +0.2average 10.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 220 seatsSPD: 206 seatsAfD: 68 seatsLinke: 47 seatsGrüne: 45 seatsFDP: 44 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU220
  • SPD206
  • AfD68
  • Linke47
  • Grüne45
  • FDP44
  • CDU/CSU + SPD426 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne333 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Linke321 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne319 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + FDP318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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