Civey poll of 21 March 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 21 Mar 2017
- Respondents
- 5,030
- Method
- Unbekannt
- SPD33.1%+1.7
- CDU/CSU32.2%-1.3
- AfD10.0%-0.3
- Linke7.6%+0.5
- Grüne6.7%-0.1
- FDP6.1%-0.6
- Others4.3%+0.1
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 14 Mar 2017.
In this poll Civey has SPD ahead on 33.1%, followed by CDU/CSU on 32.2%. 5,030 people were surveyed from 19 to 21 Mar 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 14 Mar 2017, SPD gains 1.7 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.3 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has SPD 2.3 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Mar 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.3average 30.8
- Grüne -0.9average 7.6
- Linke -0.6average 8.2
- AfD -0.3average 10.3
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 32.4
- FDP +0.2average 5.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD218
- CDU/CSU212
- AfD66
- Linke50
- Grüne44
- FDP40
- SPD + CDU/CSU430 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Linke334 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke328 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP324 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.