Civey poll of 11 July 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 11 Jul 2017
- Respondents
- 10,170
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU38.6%-0.1
- SPD24.3%-0.9
- Linke9.0%-0.2
- FDP8.6%+0.6
- AfD8.2%+0.7
- Grüne6.9%±0
- Others4.4%-0.1
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 4 Jul 2017.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.6%, followed by SPD on 24.3%. 10,170 people were surveyed from 4 to 11 Jul 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 4 Jul 2017, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Jul 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -0.8average 7.7
- AfD +0.4average 7.8
- SPD +0.3average 24.0
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 38.7
- Linke +0.1average 8.9
- FDP ±0average 8.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU255
- SPD160
- Linke59
- FDP57
- AfD54
- Grüne45
- CDU/CSU + SPD415 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne354 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.