Single poll
Civey poll of 18 July 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 18 Jul 2017
- Respondents
- 10,171
- Method
- Unbekannt
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.3%, followed by SPD on 23.8%. 10,171 people were surveyed from 11 to 18 Jul 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 11 Jul 2017, CDU/CSU loses 1.3 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Jul 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 38.7
- Linke +0.6average 8.8
- FDP +0.6average 8.6
- AfD +0.5average 7.9
- Grüne -0.4average 7.7
- SPD -0.2average 24.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU246
- SPD157
- Linke62
- FDP61
- AfD56
- Grüne48
- CDU/CSU + SPD403 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne350 of 630
More
More polls
← Civey, 11 Jul 2017Civey, 25 Jul 2017 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2017
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.