Civey poll of 25 July 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 25 Jul 2017
- Respondents
- 10,208
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU39.7%+2.4
- SPD24.6%+0.8
- FDP9.3%+0.1
- Linke8.5%-0.9
- AfD7.0%-1.4
- Grüne6.4%-0.9
- Others4.5%-0.1
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 18 Jul 2017.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 39.7%, followed by SPD on 24.6%. 10,208 people were surveyed from 18 to 25 Jul 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 18 Jul 2017, CDU/CSU gains 2.4 points, AfD loses 1.4 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Jul 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.3average 7.7
- AfD -0.9average 7.9
- CDU/CSU +0.8average 38.9
- FDP +0.8average 8.5
- SPD +0.5average 24.1
- Linke -0.3average 8.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU262
- SPD163
- FDP61
- Linke56
- AfD46
- Grüne42
- CDU/CSU + SPD425 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP323 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne350 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.