Single poll
Civey poll of 1 August 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 25 Jul 2017 to 1 Aug 2017
- Respondents
- 10,122
- Method
- Unbekannt
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.3%, followed by SPD on 23.8%. 10,122 people were surveyed from 25 Jul 2017 to 1 Aug 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 25 Jul 2017, CDU/CSU loses 1.4 points, AfD gains 1.1 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Aug 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 38.9
- FDP +0.6average 8.4
- SPD -0.3average 24.1
- Linke +0.3average 8.7
- Grüne -0.3average 7.7
- AfD ±0average 8.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU253
- SPD157
- FDP59
- Linke59
- AfD53
- Grüne49
- CDU/CSU + SPD410 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne355 of 630
More
More polls
← Civey, 25 Jul 2017Civey, 8 Aug 2017 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2017
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.