Single poll

Civey poll of 8 August 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
DER SPIEGEL
Fieldwork period
1 to 8 Aug 2017
Respondents
10,226
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU38.1%-0.2
  • SPD22.4%-1.4
  • Linke9.8%+0.8
  • FDP8.9%-0.1
  • AfD8.7%+0.6
  • Grüne8.2%+0.8
  • Others3.9%-0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 1 Aug 2017.

In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.1%, followed by SPD on 22.4%. 10,226 people were surveyed from 1 to 8 Aug 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 1 Aug 2017, SPD loses 1.4 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has SPD 1.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Aug 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.6average 24.0
  • Linke +1.1average 8.7
  • CDU/CSU -0.7average 38.8
  • AfD +0.7average 8.0
  • Grüne +0.6average 7.6
  • FDP +0.5average 8.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 250 seatsSPD: 147 seatsLinke: 64 seatsFDP: 58 seatsAfD: 57 seatsGrüne: 54 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU250
  • SPD147
  • Linke64
  • FDP58
  • AfD57
  • Grüne54
  • CDU/CSU + SPD397 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP372 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD371 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne368 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne361 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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