Civey poll of 15 August 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 15 Aug 2017
- Respondents
- 10,259
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU37.8%-0.3
- SPD24.1%+1.7
- Linke9.1%-0.7
- FDP8.7%-0.2
- AfD8.4%-0.3
- Grüne7.6%-0.6
- Others4.3%+0.4
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 8 Aug 2017.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.8%, followed by SPD on 24.1%. 10,259 people were surveyed from 8 to 15 Aug 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 8 Aug 2017, SPD gains 1.7 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Aug 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 38.8
- Linke +0.4average 8.7
- FDP +0.4average 8.3
- AfD +0.3average 8.1
- Grüne +0.2average 7.4
- SPD -0.1average 24.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU249
- SPD159
- Linke60
- FDP57
- AfD55
- Grüne50
- CDU/CSU + SPD408 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne354 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.