Single poll

Civey poll of 22 August 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
DER SPIEGEL
Fieldwork period
15 to 22 Aug 2017
Respondents
10,088
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU38.1%+0.3
  • SPD24.8%+0.7
  • Linke9.0%-0.1
  • FDP8.3%-0.4
  • Grüne8.0%+0.4
  • AfD7.6%-0.8
  • Others4.2%-0.1

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 15 Aug 2017.

In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.1%, followed by SPD on 24.8%. 10,088 people were surveyed from 15 to 22 Aug 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 15 Aug 2017, no party moves by more than one point.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Aug 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -0.8average 38.9
  • SPD +0.7average 24.1
  • Grüne +0.4average 7.6
  • AfD -0.4average 8.0
  • Linke +0.3average 8.7
  • FDP -0.1average 8.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 250 seatsSPD: 163 seatsLinke: 59 seatsFDP: 55 seatsGrüne: 53 seatsAfD: 50 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU250
  • SPD163
  • Linke59
  • FDP55
  • Grüne53
  • AfD50
  • CDU/CSU + SPD413 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP364 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD353 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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