Single poll

Civey poll of 29 August 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
DER SPIEGEL
Fieldwork period
22 to 29 Aug 2017
Respondents
10,112
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU37.6%-0.5
  • SPD22.9%-1.9
  • FDP9.6%+1.3
  • Linke9.2%+0.2
  • AfD8.6%+1.0
  • Grüne7.6%-0.4
  • Others4.5%+0.3

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 22 Aug 2017.

In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.6%, followed by SPD on 22.9%. 10,112 people were surveyed from 22 to 29 Aug 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 22 Aug 2017, SPD loses 1.9 points, FDP gains 1.3 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Aug 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP +0.8average 8.8
  • CDU/CSU -0.7average 38.3
  • SPD -0.4average 23.3
  • Linke +0.3average 8.9
  • Grüne +0.2average 7.4
  • AfD ±0average 8.6
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 248 seatsSPD: 151 seatsFDP: 63 seatsLinke: 61 seatsAfD: 57 seatsGrüne: 50 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU248
  • SPD151
  • FDP63
  • Linke61
  • AfD57
  • Grüne50
  • CDU/CSU + SPD399 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke372 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD368 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD366 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne355 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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