Single poll

Civey poll of 5 September 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
DER SPIEGEL
Fieldwork period
29 Aug 2017 to 5 Sep 2017
Respondents
10,134
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU38.1%+0.5
  • SPD24.1%+1.2
  • Linke9.1%-0.1
  • FDP8.7%-0.9
  • AfD8.2%-0.4
  • Grüne7.7%+0.1
  • Others4.1%-0.4

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 29 Aug 2017.

In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.1%, followed by SPD on 24.1%. 10,134 people were surveyed from 29 Aug 2017 to 5 Sep 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 29 Aug 2017, SPD gains 1.2 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Sep 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +0.7average 23.4
  • AfD -0.7average 8.9
  • Grüne +0.4average 7.3
  • Linke +0.1average 9.0
  • FDP +0.1average 8.6
  • CDU/CSU ±0average 38.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 250 seatsSPD: 158 seatsLinke: 60 seatsFDP: 57 seatsAfD: 54 seatsGrüne: 51 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU250
  • SPD158
  • Linke60
  • FDP57
  • AfD54
  • Grüne51
  • CDU/CSU + SPD408 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP367 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD364 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne355 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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