Single poll

Civey poll of 12 September 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
DER SPIEGEL
Fieldwork period
5 to 12 Sep 2017
Respondents
10,033
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU38.2%+0.1
  • SPD22.1%-2.0
  • Linke9.3%+0.2
  • FDP9.1%+0.4
  • AfD8.5%+0.3
  • Grüne8.2%+0.5
  • Others4.6%+0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 5 Sep 2017.

In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.2%, followed by SPD on 22.1%. 10,033 people were surveyed from 5 to 12 Sep 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 5 Sep 2017, SPD loses 2.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Sep 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +1.2average 37.0
  • SPD -1.0average 23.1
  • AfD -1.0average 9.5
  • Grüne +0.5average 7.7
  • FDP +0.2average 8.9
  • Linke ±0average 9.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 253 seatsSPD: 146 seatsLinke: 61 seatsFDP: 60 seatsAfD: 56 seatsGrüne: 54 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU253
  • SPD146
  • Linke61
  • FDP60
  • AfD56
  • Grüne54
  • CDU/CSU + SPD399 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP374 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD370 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD369 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne368 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne367 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne363 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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