Civey poll of 19 September 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 19 Sep 2017
- Respondents
- 10,021
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU35.9%-2.3
- SPD21.9%-0.2
- AfD11.1%+2.6
- FDP9.6%+0.5
- Linke9.6%+0.3
- Grüne7.6%-0.6
- Others4.3%-0.3
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 12 Sep 2017.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.9%, followed by SPD on 21.9%. 10,021 people were surveyed from 12 to 19 Sep 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 12 Sep 2017, AfD gains 2.6 points, CDU/CSU loses 2.3 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Sep 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.1average 10.0
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 36.6
- SPD -0.4average 22.3
- FDP +0.2average 9.4
- Grüne -0.2average 7.8
- Linke ±0average 9.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU237
- SPD144
- AfD73
- FDP63
- Linke63
- Grüne50
- CDU/CSU + SPD381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne350 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.