Single poll

Civey poll of 22 September 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
DER SPIEGEL
Fieldwork period
15 to 22 Sep 2017
Respondents
10,049
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU36.2%+0.3
  • SPD22.0%+0.1
  • AfD10.3%-0.8
  • Linke9.8%+0.2
  • FDP9.6%±0
  • Grüne7.7%+0.1
  • Others4.4%+0.1

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 19 Sep 2017.

In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.2%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 10,049 people were surveyed from 15 to 22 Sep 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 19 Sep 2017, no party moves by more than one point.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Sep 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -0.5average 10.8
  • SPD +0.2average 21.8
  • Linke +0.2average 9.6
  • FDP +0.2average 9.4
  • Grüne +0.2average 7.5
  • CDU/CSU -0.1average 36.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 238 seatsSPD: 145 seatsAfD: 68 seatsLinke: 65 seatsFDP: 63 seatsGrüne: 51 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU238
  • SPD145
  • AfD68
  • Linke65
  • FDP63
  • Grüne51
  • CDU/CSU + SPD383 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke371 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP369 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP366 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne357 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne352 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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