Civey poll of 6 November 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 27 Oct 2017 to 6 Nov 2017
- Respondents
- 10,012
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU31.0%-5.2
- SPD20.4%-1.6
- AfD13.7%+3.4
- FDP11.0%+1.4
- Grüne10.2%+2.5
- Linke9.4%-0.4
- Others4.3%-0.1
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 22 Sep 2017.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 20.4%. 10,012 people were surveyed from 27 Oct 2017 to 6 Nov 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 22 Sep 2017, CDU/CSU loses 5.2 points, AfD gains 3.4 points, Grüne gains 2.5 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Nov 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.4average 12.3
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 31.7
- SPD -0.5average 20.9
- FDP -0.1average 11.1
- Grüne ±0average 10.2
- Linke ±0average 9.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU204
- SPD134
- AfD90
- FDP73
- Grüne67
- Linke62
- CDU/CSU + SPD338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.