Civey poll of 21 November 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 21 Nov 2017
- Respondents
- 5,044
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU29.2%-1.8
- SPD19.5%-0.9
- AfD13.6%-0.1
- FDP13.2%+2.2
- Grüne11.9%+1.7
- Linke8.4%-1.0
- Others4.1%-0.2
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 6 Nov 2017.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.2%, followed by SPD on 19.5%. 5,044 people were surveyed from 20 to 21 Nov 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 6 Nov 2017, FDP gains 2.2 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.8 points, Grüne gains 1.7 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has FDP 2.5 points higher and CDU/CSU 2.4 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Nov 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +2.5average 10.7
- CDU/CSU -2.4average 31.6
- SPD -1.6average 21.1
- AfD +1.3average 12.3
- Grüne +1.3average 10.6
- Linke -1.2average 9.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- SPD128
- AfD90
- FDP87
- Grüne78
- Linke55
- CDU/CSU + SPD320 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke334 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.