Single poll
Civey poll of 4 July 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 27 Jun 2017 to 4 Jul 2017
- Respondents
- 10,149
- Method
- Unbekannt
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.7%, followed by SPD on 25.2%. 10,149 people were surveyed from 27 Jun 2017 to 4 Jul 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 27 Jun 2017, SPD gains 1.8 points, FDP loses 1.4 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Jul 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.0average 24.2
- Grüne -0.7average 7.6
- FDP -0.6average 8.6
- Linke +0.4average 8.8
- AfD -0.2average 7.7
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 38.8
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU255
- SPD166
- Linke61
- FDP53
- AfD49
- Grüne46
- CDU/CSU + SPD421 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke316 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne350 of 630
More
More polls
← Civey, 27 Jun 2017Civey, 11 Jul 2017 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2017
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.