Single poll

Civey poll of 27 June 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
DER SPIEGEL
Fieldwork period
20 to 27 Jun 2017
Respondents
10,153
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU38.6%+1.0
  • SPD23.4%+0.3
  • FDP9.4%+0.3
  • Linke9.2%+0.2
  • AfD7.7%-0.1
  • Grüne7.5%-0.5
  • Others4.2%-1.2

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 20 Jun 2017.

In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.6%, followed by SPD on 23.4%. 10,153 people were surveyed from 20 to 27 Jun 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 20 Jun 2017, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Jun 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.0average 24.4
  • FDP +0.8average 8.6
  • Linke +0.3average 8.9
  • CDU/CSU +0.2average 38.4
  • AfD ±0average 7.7
  • Grüne ±0average 7.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 254 seatsSPD: 154 seatsFDP: 62 seatsLinke: 60 seatsAfD: 51 seatsGrüne: 49 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU254
  • SPD154
  • FDP62
  • Linke60
  • AfD51
  • Grüne49
  • CDU/CSU + SPD408 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP316 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne363 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne354 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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