Single poll

Civey poll of 20 June 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
DER SPIEGEL
Fieldwork period
17 to 20 Jun 2017
Respondents
10,091
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU37.6%+1.1
  • SPD23.1%-1.3
  • FDP9.1%+0.4
  • Linke9.0%-0.3
  • Grüne8.0%+0.3
  • AfD7.8%-0.7
  • Others5.4%+0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 13 Jun 2017.

In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.6%, followed by SPD on 23.1%. 10,091 people were surveyed from 17 to 20 Jun 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 13 Jun 2017, SPD loses 1.3 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.1 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has SPD 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Jun 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.5average 24.6
  • Grüne +0.6average 7.4
  • CDU/CSU -0.5average 38.1
  • FDP +0.5average 8.6
  • AfD -0.4average 8.2
  • Linke +0.2average 8.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 250 seatsSPD: 154 seatsFDP: 61 seatsLinke: 60 seatsGrüne: 53 seatsAfD: 52 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU250
  • SPD154
  • FDP61
  • Linke60
  • Grüne53
  • AfD52
  • CDU/CSU + SPD404 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke371 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne364 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD363 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne363 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD355 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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