Single poll

Civey poll of 7 February 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
DER SPIEGEL
Fieldwork period
2 to 7 Feb 2017
Respondents
5,025
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU34.0%-2.2
  • SPD27.2%+4.1
  • AfD11.3%-0.8
  • Linke8.5%-0.6
  • Grüne8.3%-0.3
  • FDP6.4%±0
  • Others4.3%-0.2

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 31 Jan 2017.

In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 27.2%. 5,025 people were surveyed from 2 to 7 Feb 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 31 Jan 2017, SPD gains 4.1 points, CDU/CSU loses 2.2 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Feb 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke -0.7average 9.2
  • FDP +0.6average 5.8
  • SPD +0.4average 26.8
  • AfD -0.4average 11.7
  • CDU/CSU +0.3average 33.7
  • Grüne ±0average 8.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 224 seatsSPD: 179 seatsAfD: 74 seatsLinke: 56 seatsGrüne: 55 seatsFDP: 42 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU224
  • SPD179
  • AfD74
  • Linke56
  • Grüne55
  • FDP42
  • CDU/CSU + SPD403 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne353 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP340 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP322 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP321 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.