Single poll

Civey poll of 14 February 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
DER SPIEGEL
Fieldwork period
7 to 13 Feb 2017
Respondents
5,016
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU33.1%-0.9
  • SPD29.3%+2.1
  • AfD11.0%-0.3
  • Linke8.3%-0.2
  • Grüne7.7%-0.6
  • FDP6.2%-0.2
  • Others4.4%+0.1

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 7 Feb 2017.

In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.1%, followed by SPD on 29.3%. 5,016 people were surveyed from 7 to 13 Feb 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 7 Feb 2017, SPD gains 2.1 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Feb 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP +0.6average 5.6
  • Linke -0.5average 8.8
  • AfD -0.4average 11.4
  • CDU/CSU +0.2average 32.9
  • Grüne -0.1average 7.8
  • SPD ±0average 29.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 218 seatsSPD: 193 seatsAfD: 72 seatsLinke: 55 seatsGrüne: 51 seatsFDP: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU218
  • SPD193
  • AfD72
  • Linke55
  • Grüne51
  • FDP41
  • CDU/CSU + SPD411 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne341 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP331 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne324 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Linke320 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne316 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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