Civey poll of 31 January 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 30 Jan 2017
- Respondents
- 5,014
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU36.2%-0.9
- SPD23.1%+2.7
- AfD12.1%-1.1
- Linke9.1%-0.4
- Grüne8.6%-0.7
- FDP6.4%+0.2
- Others4.5%+0.2
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 24 Jan 2017.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.2%, followed by SPD on 23.1%. 5,014 people were surveyed from 22 to 30 Jan 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 24 Jan 2017, SPD gains 2.7 points, AfD loses 1.1 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Jan 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +0.9average 35.3
- Grüne -0.7average 9.3
- Linke -0.5average 9.6
- FDP +0.5average 5.9
- SPD -0.2average 23.3
- AfD -0.2average 12.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU239
- SPD152
- AfD80
- Linke60
- Grüne57
- FDP42
- CDU/CSU + SPD391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP338 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.