Single poll

Civey poll of 24 January 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
DER SPIEGEL
Fieldwork period
12 to 23 Jan 2017
Respondents
5,028
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU37.1%
  • SPD20.4%
  • AfD13.2%
  • Linke9.5%
  • Grüne9.3%
  • FDP6.2%
  • Others4.3%

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.1%, followed by SPD on 20.4%. 5,028 people were surveyed from 12 to 23 Jan 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU/CSU 1.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Jan 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +1.6average 35.5
  • Linke -0.8average 10.3
  • AfD +0.7average 12.5
  • SPD -0.6average 21.0
  • Grüne +0.5average 8.8
  • FDP -0.3average 6.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 244 seatsSPD: 134 seatsAfD: 87 seatsLinke: 63 seatsGrüne: 61 seatsFDP: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU244
  • SPD134
  • AfD87
  • Linke63
  • Grüne61
  • FDP41
  • CDU/CSU + SPD378 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD331 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne368 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP346 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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