Civey poll of 5 December 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Nov 2017 to 5 Dec 2017
- Respondents
- 11,936
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU31.5%-0.2
- SPD20.4%±0
- FDP11.9%-1.2
- AfD11.3%+0.7
- Grüne11.0%±0
- Linke9.2%+0.3
- Others4.7%+0.4
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 28 Nov 2017.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.5%, followed by SPD on 20.4%. 11,936 people were surveyed from 30 Nov 2017 to 5 Dec 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 28 Nov 2017, FDP loses 1.2 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has FDP 2.4 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Dec 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +2.4average 9.5
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 32.5
- SPD -0.8average 21.2
- Linke -0.6average 9.8
- AfD -0.5average 11.8
- Grüne +0.1average 10.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU208
- SPD135
- FDP78
- AfD75
- Grüne73
- Linke61
- CDU/CSU + SPD343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke342 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.