Civey poll of 14 November 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 14 Nov 2019
- Respondents
- 10,198
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.7%-0.2
- Grüne20.5%-2.1
- SPD14.3%+0.6
- AfD13.1%±0
- Linke9.6%+1.6
- FDP8.7%+0.2
- Others6.1%-0.1
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 1 Oct 2019.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.7%, followed by Grüne on 20.5%. 10,198 people were surveyed from 7 to 14 Nov 2019, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 1 Oct 2019, Grüne loses 2.1 points, Linke gains 1.6 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Nov 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.1average 26.6
- Grüne -0.9average 21.4
- AfD -0.9average 14.0
- FDP +0.9average 7.8
- Linke +0.5average 9.1
- SPD -0.3average 14.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU186
- Grüne138
- SPD96
- AfD88
- Linke64
- FDP58
- CDU/CSU + Grüne324 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.