Single poll

Forsa poll of 22 September 2026 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
15 to 21 Sep 2026
Respondents
2,504
Method
Telefonisch
  • AfD27.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU20.0%±0
  • Grüne17.0%-1.0
  • SPD12.0%±0
  • Linke12.0%±0
  • FDP4.0%±0
  • BSW3.0%±0
  • Others5.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 15 Sep 2026.

In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 15 to 21 Sep 2026, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 15 Sep 2026, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 2.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Sep 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +2.5average 14.5
  • AfD -1.0average 28.0
  • SPD -0.7average 12.7
  • FDP -0.6average 4.6
  • Linke +0.5average 11.5
  • BSW -0.4average 3.4
  • CDU/CSU -0.3average 20.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

AfD: 193 seatsCDU/CSU: 143 seatsGrüne: 122 seatsSPD: 86 seatsLinke: 86 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • AfD193
  • CDU/CSU143
  • Grüne122
  • SPD86
  • Linke86
  • AfD + CDU/CSU336 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + SPD401 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke401 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.