Single poll

Forsa poll of 29 September 2026 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
22 to 28 Sep 2026
Respondents
2,501
Method
Telefonisch
  • AfD26.0%-1.0
  • CDU/CSU19.0%-1.0
  • Grüne16.0%-1.0
  • SPD14.0%+2.0
  • Linke12.0%±0
  • FDP4.0%±0
  • BSW3.0%±0
  • Others6.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 22 Sep 2026.

In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 19.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 22 to 28 Sep 2026, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 22 Sep 2026, SPD gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 2.2 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Sep 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -2.2average 28.2
  • Grüne +1.4average 14.6
  • CDU/CSU -1.2average 20.2
  • SPD +0.9average 13.1
  • Linke +0.7average 11.3
  • BSW -0.6average 3.6
  • FDP -0.3average 4.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

AfD: 188 seatsCDU/CSU: 138 seatsGrüne: 116 seatsSPD: 101 seatsLinke: 87 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • AfD188
  • CDU/CSU138
  • Grüne116
  • SPD101
  • Linke87
  • AfD + CDU/CSU326 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + SPD405 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke391 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke376 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke341 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke326 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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