Single poll

Forsa poll of 6 October 2026 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
29 Sep 2026 to 5 Oct 2026
Respondents
2,502
Method
Telefonisch

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 29 Sep 2026.

In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 19.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 29 Sep 2026 to 5 Oct 2026, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 29 Sep 2026, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 2.3 points lower and Grüne 2.3 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Oct 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -2.3average 28.3
  • Grüne +2.3average 14.7
  • CDU/CSU -0.9average 19.9
  • SPD +0.9average 13.1
  • FDP -0.4average 4.4
  • Linke -0.3average 11.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

AfD: 188 seatsCDU/CSU: 138 seatsGrüne: 123 seatsSPD: 101 seatsLinke: 80 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • AfD188
  • CDU/CSU138
  • Grüne123
  • SPD101
  • Linke80
  • AfD + CDU/CSU326 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + SPD412 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke391 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke369 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke341 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke319 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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