Single poll

Forsa poll of 15 September 2026 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
8 to 14 Sep 2026
Respondents
2,502
Method
Telefonisch
  • AfD27.0%-1.0
  • CDU/CSU20.0%-1.0
  • Grüne18.0%+2.0
  • SPD12.0%±0
  • Linke12.0%+1.0
  • FDP4.0%±0
  • BSW3.0%±0
  • Others4.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 8 Sep 2026.

In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 8 to 14 Sep 2026, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 8 Sep 2026, Grüne gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 3.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Sep 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +3.6average 14.4
  • AfD -1.2average 28.2
  • SPD -0.7average 12.7
  • Linke +0.7average 11.3
  • FDP -0.6average 4.6
  • CDU/CSU -0.5average 20.5
  • BSW -0.2average 3.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

AfD: 191 seatsCDU/CSU: 142 seatsGrüne: 127 seatsSPD: 85 seatsLinke: 85 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • AfD191
  • CDU/CSU142
  • Grüne127
  • SPD85
  • Linke85
  • AfD + CDU/CSU333 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne318 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke354 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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