Forsa poll of 4 November 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Oct 2025 to 3 Nov 2025
- Respondents
- 2,500
- Method
- Telefonisch
- AfD26.0%±0
- CDU/CSU24.0%-1.0
- SPD14.0%+1.0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- Linke12.0%±0
- FDP3.0%±0
- BSW3.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 28 Oct 2025.
In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 2,500 people were surveyed from 28 Oct 2025 to 3 Nov 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 28 Oct 2025, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 1.7 points lower and Linke 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Nov 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.7average 25.7
- Linke +1.5average 10.5
- SPD -0.8average 14.8
- BSW -0.8average 3.8
- AfD +0.7average 25.3
- Grüne +0.7average 11.3
- FDP -0.1average 3.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD186
- CDU/CSU172
- SPD100
- Grüne86
- Linke86
- AfD + CDU/CSU358 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne372 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke372 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.