Single poll

Forsa poll of 11 August 2026 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
4 to 10 Aug 2026
Respondents
2,503
Method
Telefonisch
  • AfD28.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU21.0%±0
  • Grüne16.0%±0
  • SPD12.0%±0
  • Linke12.0%±0
  • FDP4.0%±0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 4 Aug 2026.

In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 4 to 10 Aug 2026, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 4 Aug 2026, no party moves by more than one point.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 2.1 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Aug 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +2.1average 13.9
  • CDU/CSU -0.7average 21.7
  • Linke +0.6average 11.4
  • FDP -0.6average 4.6
  • AfD +0.4average 27.6
  • SPD -0.2average 12.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

AfD: 198 seatsCDU/CSU: 149 seatsGrüne: 113 seatsSPD: 85 seatsLinke: 85 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • AfD198
  • CDU/CSU149
  • Grüne113
  • SPD85
  • Linke85
  • AfD + CDU/CSU347 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + SPD396 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke396 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke368 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD347 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke347 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke319 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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