Single poll
Forsa poll of 4 August 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Jul 2026 to 3 Aug 2026
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 28 Jul 2026 to 3 Aug 2026, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 28 Jul 2026, AfD gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 2.3 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Aug 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.3average 13.7
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 21.9
- Linke +0.7average 11.3
- FDP -0.6average 4.6
- AfD +0.5average 27.5
- SPD -0.4average 12.4
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD198
- CDU/CSU149
- Grüne113
- SPD85
- Linke85
- AfD + CDU/CSU347 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD396 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke396 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke319 of 630
More
More polls
← Forsa, 28 Jul 2026Forsa, 11 Aug 2026 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2026
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.