Single poll

Forsa poll of 28 July 2026 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
21 to 27 Jul 2026
Respondents
2,502
Method
Telefonisch
  • AfD27.0%+1.0
  • CDU/CSU21.0%-1.0
  • Grüne16.0%±0
  • Linke13.0%+1.0
  • SPD12.0%±0
  • FDP4.0%±0
  • Others7.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 21 Jul 2026.

In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 21 to 27 Jul 2026, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 21 Jul 2026, AfD gains 1.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 2.2 points higher and Linke 1.7 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Jul 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +2.2average 13.8
  • Linke +1.7average 11.3
  • CDU/CSU -1.0average 22.0
  • SPD -0.5average 12.5
  • FDP -0.5average 4.5
  • AfD -0.4average 27.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

AfD: 191 seatsCDU/CSU: 149 seatsGrüne: 113 seatsLinke: 92 seatsSPD: 85 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • AfD191
  • CDU/CSU149
  • Grüne113
  • Linke92
  • SPD85
  • AfD + CDU/CSU340 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke396 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + SPD389 of 630
  • AfD + Linke + SPD368 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD347 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + SPD326 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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