Forsa poll of 14 January 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 13 Jan 2025
- Respondents
- 2,504
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU31.0%-1.0
- AfD20.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%-1.0
- Grüne13.0%+1.0
- FDP4.0%+1.0
- BSW4.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others9.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 Jan 2025.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 7 to 13 Jan 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 Jan 2025, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has BSW 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Jan 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW -1.5average 5.5
- Grüne -0.7average 13.7
- AfD +0.6average 19.4
- Linke -0.3average 3.3
- SPD +0.1average 15.9
- FDP -0.1average 4.1
- CDU/CSU ±0average 31.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU244
- AfD158
- SPD126
- Grüne102
- CDU/CSU + AfD402 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne346 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne386 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.