Forsa poll of 21 January 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 20 Jan 2025
- Respondents
- 2,502
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU31.0%±0
- AfD19.0%-1.0
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%±0
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others10.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 14 Jan 2025.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 14 to 20 Jan 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 14 Jan 2025, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Jan 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW -1.3average 5.3
- AfD -0.7average 19.7
- Grüne -0.7average 13.7
- Linke -0.4average 3.4
- SPD -0.1average 16.1
- FDP -0.1average 4.1
- CDU/CSU ±0average 31.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU247
- AfD151
- SPD128
- Grüne104
- CDU/CSU + AfD398 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne351 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne383 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.