Forsa poll of 7 January 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 6 Jan 2025
- Respondents
- 1,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU32.0%+1.0
- AfD19.0%±0
- SPD17.0%+1.0
- Grüne12.0%-1.0
- BSW4.0%±0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Linke3.0%-1.0
- Others10.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 23 Dec 2024.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,501 people were surveyed from 2 to 6 Jan 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 23 Dec 2024, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has BSW 1.7 points lower and Grüne 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Jan 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW -1.7average 5.7
- Grüne -1.6average 13.6
- SPD +0.8average 16.2
- FDP -0.7average 3.7
- CDU/CSU +0.3average 31.7
- AfD +0.3average 18.7
- Linke -0.1average 3.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU252
- AfD150
- SPD134
- Grüne94
- CDU/CSU + AfD402 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD386 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne346 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne378 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.