Forsa poll of 23 December 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 20 Dec 2024
- Respondents
- 2,008
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU31.0%+1.0
- AfD19.0%±0
- SPD16.0%-1.0
- Grüne13.0%±0
- Linke4.0%+1.0
- BSW4.0%±0
- FDP3.0%-1.0
- Others10.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 17 Dec 2024.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 2,008 people were surveyed from 17 to 20 Dec 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 17 Dec 2024, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has BSW 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Dec 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW -2.0average 6.0
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 31.9
- Linke +0.9average 3.1
- FDP -0.8average 3.8
- AfD +0.7average 18.3
- Grüne -0.4average 13.4
- SPD -0.3average 16.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU247
- AfD151
- SPD128
- Grüne104
- CDU/CSU + AfD398 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne351 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne383 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.