Forsa poll of 17 December 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 16 Dec 2024
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%-1.0
- AfD19.0%+1.0
- SPD17.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%±0
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others10.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 10 Dec 2024.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 10 to 16 Dec 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 10 Dec 2024, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 2.5 points lower and BSW 2.1 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Dec 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.5average 32.5
- BSW -2.1average 6.1
- SPD +0.9average 16.1
- AfD +0.8average 18.2
- Grüne +0.4average 12.6
- FDP +0.1average 3.9
- Linke +0.1average 2.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU239
- AfD151
- SPD136
- Grüne104
- CDU/CSU + AfD390 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne343 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne391 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.