Forsa poll of 10 December 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 9 Dec 2024
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU31.0%-1.0
- AfD18.0%±0
- SPD17.0%+1.0
- Grüne13.0%+1.0
- FDP4.0%+1.0
- BSW4.0%±0
- Linke3.0%-1.0
- Others10.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 3 Dec 2024.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 3 to 9 Dec 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 3 Dec 2024, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has BSW 2.1 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Dec 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW -2.1average 6.1
- CDU/CSU -1.5average 32.5
- SPD +0.8average 16.2
- Grüne +0.4average 12.6
- AfD -0.2average 18.2
- FDP +0.2average 3.8
- Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU247
- AfD143
- SPD136
- Grüne104
- CDU/CSU + AfD390 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD383 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne351 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne383 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.