Forsa poll of 3 December 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 26 Nov 2024 to 2 Dec 2024
- Respondents
- 2,502
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU32.0%±0
- AfD18.0%±0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- FDP3.0%-1.0
- Others11.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 26 Nov 2024.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 26 Nov 2024 to 2 Dec 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 26 Nov 2024, SPD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has BSW 2.4 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Dec 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW -2.4average 6.4
- CDU/CSU -1.2average 33.2
- FDP -1.2average 4.2
- SPD +0.9average 15.1
- Linke +0.9average 3.1
- AfD -0.1average 18.1
- Grüne -0.1average 12.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU259
- AfD145
- SPD129
- Grüne97
- CDU/CSU + AfD404 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD388 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne356 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne371 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.