Forsa poll of 26 November 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 25 Nov 2024
- Respondents
- 2,500
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU32.0%-1.0
- AfD18.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%+1.0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- Others11.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 19 Nov 2024.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 2,500 people were surveyed from 19 to 25 Nov 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 19 Nov 2024, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has BSW 2.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Nov 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW -2.8average 6.8
- CDU/CSU -1.2average 33.2
- Linke +0.9average 3.1
- Grüne +0.5average 11.5
- AfD -0.3average 18.3
- SPD -0.1average 15.1
- FDP -0.1average 4.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU262
- AfD147
- SPD123
- Grüne98
- CDU/CSU + AfD409 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne360 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne368 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.