Forsa poll of 19 November 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 18 Nov 2024
- Respondents
- 2,500
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU33.0%±0
- AfD18.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- Grüne11.0%±0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Linke4.0%+1.0
- BSW4.0%-1.0
- Others11.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 12 Nov 2024.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 2,500 people were surveyed from 12 to 18 Nov 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 12 Nov 2024, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has BSW 3.4 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Nov 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW -3.4average 7.4
- Linke +0.7average 3.3
- SPD -0.6average 15.6
- Grüne -0.4average 11.4
- FDP -0.3average 4.3
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 33.1
- AfD +0.1average 17.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU270
- AfD147
- SPD123
- Grüne90
- CDU/CSU + AfD417 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD393 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne360 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne360 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.