Forsa poll of 12 November 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 11 Nov 2024
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU33.0%+1.0
- AfD17.0%±0
- SPD16.0%-1.0
- Grüne11.0%±0
- BSW5.0%-1.0
- FDP4.0%+1.0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others11.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 Nov 2024.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 5 to 11 Nov 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 Nov 2024, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, BSW loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has BSW 2.4 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Nov 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW -2.4average 7.4
- AfD -0.8average 17.8
- SPD +0.4average 15.6
- FDP -0.4average 4.4
- Grüne -0.3average 11.3
- Linke -0.3average 3.3
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 33.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU254
- AfD131
- SPD123
- Grüne84
- BSW38
- CDU/CSU + AfD385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne338 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne338 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.