Forsa poll of 21 May 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 17 May 2024
- Respondents
- 2,001
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU32.0%±0
- SPD16.0%±0
- AfD15.0%±0
- Grüne14.0%+1.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- BSW5.0%±0
- Others13.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 14 May 2024.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 2,001 people were surveyed from 14 to 17 May 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 14 May 2024, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 2.0 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 May 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -2.0average 17.0
- CDU/CSU +1.5average 30.5
- BSW -1.1average 6.1
- SPD +0.3average 15.7
- Grüne +0.2average 13.8
- FDP ±0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU232
- SPD116
- AfD109
- Grüne101
- FDP36
- BSW36
- CDU/CSU + SPD348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne333 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.