Forsa poll of 28 May 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 27 May 2024
- Respondents
- 2,503
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%-2.0
- SPD16.0%±0
- AfD15.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%-1.0
- FDP6.0%+1.0
- BSW6.0%+1.0
- Others14.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 21 May 2024.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 21 to 27 May 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 21 May 2024, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 May 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.8average 16.8
- FDP +1.0average 5.0
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 30.6
- Grüne -0.5average 13.5
- SPD +0.2average 15.8
- BSW -0.2average 6.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU220
- SPD117
- AfD110
- Grüne95
- FDP44
- BSW44
- CDU/CSU + SPD337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD330 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW359 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.