Single poll
Forsa poll of 4 June 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 28 May 2024 to 3 Jun 2024
- Respondents
- 2,506
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 2,506 people were surveyed from 28 May 2024 to 3 Jun 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 28 May 2024, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 1.6 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Jun 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.6average 16.6
- SPD +1.1average 15.9
- FDP +1.1average 4.9
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 30.6
- Grüne -0.4average 13.4
- BSW -0.3average 6.3
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU218
- SPD123
- AfD109
- Grüne94
- FDP43
- BSW43
- CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD327 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW355 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne326 of 630
More
More polls
← Forsa, 28 May 2024Forsa, 11 Jun 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.