Forsa poll of 11 June 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 10 Jun 2024
- Respondents
- 2,505
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%±0
- SPD16.0%-1.0
- AfD16.0%+1.0
- Grüne13.0%±0
- FDP6.0%±0
- BSW6.0%±0
- Others13.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 4 Jun 2024.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 2,505 people were surveyed from 4 to 10 Jun 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 4 Jun 2024, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Jun 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +1.1average 4.9
- AfD -0.6average 16.6
- BSW -0.5average 6.5
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 30.4
- SPD +0.4average 15.6
- Grüne -0.2average 13.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU218
- SPD116
- AfD116
- Grüne94
- FDP43
- BSW43
- CDU/CSU + SPD334 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD334 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW355 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.