Forsa poll of 18 June 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 17 Jun 2024
- Respondents
- 2,504
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%±0
- AfD16.0%±0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- Grüne12.0%-1.0
- BSW7.0%+1.0
- FDP5.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler3.0%
- Others12.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 11 Jun 2024.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 16.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 11 to 17 Jun 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 11 Jun 2024, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, BSW gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Jun 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.1average 13.1
- AfD -0.7average 16.7
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 30.5
- Freie Wähler +0.5average 2.5
- SPD -0.2average 15.2
- BSW ±0average 7.0
- FDP ±0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU222
- AfD119
- SPD111
- Grüne89
- BSW52
- FDP37
- CDU/CSU + AfD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP348 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.